Steady Real Estate Market Expected for 2012
Steady real estate market expected for 2012
(January 12, 2012 – Hamilton, Ontario) The REALTORS® Association of Hamilton‐Burlington (RAHB) held its annual press conference today and 2012 President Cameron Nolan anticipates the 2012 real estate market will hold steady through 2012, with continued low interest rates and average sale prices that increase slightly above the inflation rate.
In his inaugural speech, Nolan noted that consumer confidence is a major area of concern going forward as, according to a survey sponsored by the Economic Club of Canada, a majority of Canadians believe the country is in a recession despite the fact Canada hasn’t been in recession since 2009. Nolan also noted the good news for the local economy –the new jobs brought to Hamilton by companies such as Maple Leaf and Canada Bread and that unemployment in the Hamilton area is about one per cent lower than the Canadian rate of 7.5% and lower than the provincial average. "If we can continue to see stabilization in the employment rate, we expect to see confidence in the greater Hamilton‐Burlington housing market,” he said.
Nolan noted that the first time buyer market is affected by youth employment, interest rates and government programs to assist with the purchase of a first home. "With the land transfer tax rebate extended to all property types, mortgage rates at historic lows and prices at affordable levels, . . . market newcomers will have time to shop around and find the home that best suits their needs," he said.
For 2012, Nolan predicted that listings will remain at or below 2011 levels as homeowners stay put until the economic outlook becomes more predictable. He also suggested that sales will remain close to 2011 levels, with 12,000 sales in the residential market. Average sale prices will continue to rise at a gradual rate.
Area media were on hand to hear Nolan report that 2011 ended with 11,987 properties located in the RAHB market* area being sold through the RAHB Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®). Sales were almost on par with the number of sales in 2010.
The average sale price rose 4.4 per cent from last year and continues a steady climb begun in the mid‐1990s.
In the residential market only, listings were down just over four per cent from last year, but sales were almost even with 2010, with only 15 sales fewer than the previous year. The Sales to New Listing ratio is 73.7 per cent, which indicates that a seller’s market persisted through 2011.
The condominium market saw the biggest gains through the year, with a 4.6% increase in sales over last year. Average sale price rose 3.8 per cent in this market.
The year was characterized by a late start into the spring market, and then a stronger‐than‐average market through the latter half of the year. Condo sales were the highlight through much of the second half of 2011. Condominium sales were the only category which performed above the 10‐year average; all other categories came in just below average for the year.
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All Property Types 2010 2011 % change 10‐year average
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Listings 16,956 16,256 ‐4.1% 16,726 Sales 12,056 11,987 ‐0.6% 12,414
Average Sale Price 303,997 $317,415 4.4% N/A |
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Residential Only
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Listings 15,521 14,863 ‐4.1% 15,280
Sales 11,587 11,571 ‐0.1% 11,905 Average Sale Price $300,881 $313,430 4.2% N/A |
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Freehold Only
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Sales 9,249 9,125 ‐1.3% 9518
Average Sale Price $318,865 $333,551 4.6% N/A |
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Condominium Only
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Sales 2,338 2,446 4.6% 2387
Average Sale Price $229,734 $238,365 3.8% N/A |
Average sale prices in Burlington, Ancaster, Hamilton East, Hamilton Centre saw the greatest increase in average sale price while Dundas and Stoney Creek showed increases of less than one per cent over the previous year.
Please refer to the accompanying chart for residential market activities in other parts of RAHB’s jurisdiction.
Figures quoted are for sales and average sale prices of units located in the jurisdiction* of the REALTORS® Association of Hamilton‐Burlington and processed through RAHB’s Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®).
*RAHB’s jurisdiction includes Burlington, Waterdown, Flamborough and Dundas in the north; Hamilton, Ancaster, Stoney Creek, and Grimsby along Lake Ontario; and extends down to the shores of Lake Erie, including Glanbrook, West Lincoln, Smithville, Dunnville, Cayuga, Caledonia, and Hagersville.
Cameron Nolan Valerie Webster
President, RAHB Communications Coordinator
Ph: 905.296.0757 Ph: 905.529.8101 Ext. 294
E: president@rahb.ca E: valeriew@rahb.ca